John Fetterman · KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03
John Fetterman is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03.
Price history
16¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If John Fetterman publicly endorses Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
John Fetterman
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Olympia Snowe 19¢
Range
3¢-19¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-JFET
Jul 13, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$496
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If John Fetterman publicly endorses Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-JFET
Event family
KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Olympia Snowe 19¢
Current share
—
Olympia Snowe
kalshi · KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-OSNO
John Fetterman
kalshi · KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-JFET
Greg Elder
kalshi · KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-GELD
Jake Auchincloss
kalshi · KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-JAUC
Jared Golden
kalshi · KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-JGOL
Angus King
kalshi · KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-AKIN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.