John Field · KXMAPRIMARY-06R26
John Field is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXMAPRIMARY-06R26.
Price history
6¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If John Field wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MA-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
John Field
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Micah Jones 89¢
Range
5¢-89¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMAPRIMARY-06R26-JFIE
Jun 26, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$69
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXMAPRIMARY-06R26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If John Field wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MA-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMAPRIMARY-06R26-JFIE
Event family
KXMAPRIMARY-06R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Micah Jones 89¢
Current share
—
Micah Jones
kalshi · KXMAPRIMARY-06R26-MJON
John Field
kalshi · KXMAPRIMARY-06R26-JFIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.