SimpleFunctions

John Summit · KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC

John Summit is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC.

Price history

24¢ current

+15¢
10¢20¢
Jul 19, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If John Summit is a Top 10 DJ on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

John Summit

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

David Guetta 92¢

Range

1¢-92¢

Family volume

$84

Identifier

KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-JOH

Aug 10, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 10, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

22¢

Spread

10¢

24h volume

$84

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$84

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 22¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
12¢15
11¢23
9¢200
2¢370
AskSize
22¢5
23¢77
25¢200
55¢44
56¢289

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If John Summit is a Top 10 DJ on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXRANKLISTDJMAGTOP10-26DEC-JOH

SF Signal
SF Index
933.09
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1866.2%

IY (No)

34.7%

Adj IY

933%

CRI

7

Overround

8.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1866.2%
34.7%
Adj IY
933%
7
Overround
8.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.