Will Jonathan Banks win Movie/Limited Supporting Actor at the Emmy Awards?
KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-JON · closes Sep 14, 2027 · 518 days remaining
Price
Last
0¢
Bid
4¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
8¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$0
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 1692.2% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 2.9% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 24 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | -0.2% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 2.00 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 0% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
7 indicator snapshots · 2 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/14/2026, 10:16:09 PM
About this market
If Jonathan Banks has won Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-JON yes 100