Richard Gadd · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14
Richard Gadd is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14.
Price history
20¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Richard Gadd has won Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Richard Gadd
Rank
#3 of 12
Leader
Charles Melton 38¢
Range
1¢-38¢
Family volume
$181
Identifier
KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-RICH
Jun 22, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
17¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#3 of 12
12 outcomes · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14
Closes
Sep 14, 2027
Family volume
$181
Orderbook snapshot
17 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Richard Gadd has won Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 14, 2027
Identifier
KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-RICH
Event family
KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$181
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Charles Melton 38¢
Current share
0%
Charles Melton
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-CHA
David Harbour
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-DAV
Richard Gadd
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-RICH
Tie
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-TIE
Alessandro Nivola
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-ALE
Jake Lacy
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-JAK
Jamie Bell
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-JAM
Jonathan Banks
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-JON
Nick Offerman
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-NIC
Richard Jenkins
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-RIC
Tom Hollander
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-TOM
Troy Kotsur
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTO-26SEP14-TRO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.