SimpleFunctions

Jordan Love · KXLEADERNFLPTDS-27

Jordan Love is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXLEADERNFLPTDS-27.

Price history

15¢ current

6¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jul 5, 2026Jul 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Jordan Love leads Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jordan Love

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

Joe Burrow 14¢

Range

1¢-14¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXLEADERNFLPTDS-27-JLOVE10

Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 2h ago

Implied probability

15¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 2h ago

Bid

Ask

15¢

Spread

13¢

24h volume

$222

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · KXLEADERNFLPTDS-27

Closes

Feb 8, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 15¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
100¢913
2¢250
AskSize
15¢5
16¢751
17¢500
18¢505
19¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jordan Love leads Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 8, 2027

Identifier

KXLEADERNFLPTDS-27-JLOVE10

SF Signal
SF Index
2955.13
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5910.3%

IY (No)

5.7%

Adj IY

2955%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5910.3%
5.7%
Adj IY
2955%
32
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.