SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Josh Naylor record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

47¢
$988 volume
$952 liquidity
690% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$143

Best sibling

Will Smith 35¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JNAYLOR12

Market snapshot

Josh Naylor in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Josh Naylor record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 47¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $10. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20 family, this outcome ranks #9 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Josh Naylor

Family rank

#9 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

47¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

24h volume

$10

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20

Quote range

3¢-94¢

Family leader

Elly De La Cruz 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JNAYLOR12. Family volume: $143.

Price history

47¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

42 / 47¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
42¢21
41¢99
37¢500
33¢16
19¢837
AskSize
47¢13
53¢76
57¢500
65¢16
74¢7

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Josh Naylor records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JNAYLOR12

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

342.3%

IY (No)

179.5%

Adj IY

342%

CRI

1

RV

573%

VR

3.39

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

342.3%
179.5%
Adj IY
342%
1
RV
573%
VR
3.39
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
18.3%

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