SimpleFunctions

Kanye West / Ye perform at Soldier Field between February 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET

Soldier Field is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 80¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Will Kanye West / Ye perform at.

Price history

80¢ current

+74¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 22, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Kanye West / Ye performs at Soldier Field between February 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Soldier Field

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Soldier Field 80¢

Range

1¢-80¢

Family volume

$667

Identifier

KXVENUEPERFORMANCEYE-27JAN01-SOL

Jun 22, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

80¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 22, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

80¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

18¢

24h volume

$629

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Kanye West / Ye perform at

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Family volume

$667

Orderbook snapshot

80 / 98¢

Kalshi
18¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
80¢641
33¢1.2K
32¢500
3¢29
AskSize
98¢229
99¢94

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kanye West / Ye performs at Soldier Field between February 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Identifier

KXVENUEPERFORMANCEYE-27JAN01-SOL

SF Signal
SF Index
364.29
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

45.5%

IY (No)

728.6%

Adj IY

364%

CRI

4

Overround

0.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

45.5%
728.6%
Adj IY
364%
4
Overround
0.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.