Karolina Kurkova · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31
Karolina Kurkova is priced at 33¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXVSANGLES-26DEC31.
Price history
33¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Karolina Kurkova is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Karolina Kurkova
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Adriana Lima 90¢
Range
28¢-90¢
Family volume
$98
Identifier
KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-KAR
Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$98
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Karolina Kurkova is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-KAR
Event family
KXVSANGLES-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$98
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Adriana Lima 90¢
Current share
0%
Adriana Lima
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-ADR
Alex Consani
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-ALE
Anok Yai
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-ANO
Precious Lee
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-PRE
Alessandra Ambrosio
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-ALL
Joan Smalls
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-JOA
Stella Maxwell
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-STE
Candice Swanepoel
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-CAN
Doutzen Kroes
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-DOU
Yumi Nu
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-YUM
Gigi Hadid
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-GIG
Lily Aldridge
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-LIL
Ashley Graham
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-ASH
Barbara Palvin
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-BAR
Angel Reese
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-ANG
Karolina Kurkova
kalshi · KXVSANGLES-26DEC31-KAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.