Keith Ellison · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01
Keith Ellison is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01.
Price history
3¢ current
Contract brief
If Keith Ellison officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Keith Ellison
Rank
#8 of 9
Leader
Angie Craig 43¢
Range
1¢-43¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-KELL
Aug 23, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$156
Family rank
#8 of 9
9 outcomes · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Keith Ellison officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Identifier
KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-KELL
Event family
KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Angie Craig 43¢
Current share
—
Angie Craig
kalshi · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-ACRA
No one
kalshi · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-NOONE
Amy Klobuchar
kalshi · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-AKLO
Erin Murphy
kalshi · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-EMUR
Melisa López Franzen
kalshi · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-MFRA
Steve Simon
kalshi · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-SSIM
Kelly Morrison
kalshi · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-KMOR
Keith Ellison
kalshi · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-KELL
Tim Walz
kalshi · KXKLOBSEAT-27FEB01-TWAL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.