Kevin McGonigle · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL
Kevin McGonigle is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL.
Price history
53¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Kevin McGonigle is selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball American League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kevin McGonigle
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Yordan Alvarez 98¢
Range
5¢-98¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-KMCGONIGLE85
Jun 23, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
50¢
Ask
53¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$410
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
50 / 53¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kevin McGonigle is selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball American League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-KMCGONIGLE85
Event family
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Yordan Alvarez 98¢
Current share
5%
Yordan Alvarez
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-YALVAREZ44
Shea Langeliers
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-SLANGELIERS23
Ernie Clement
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-ECLEMENT22
Cam Schlittler
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-CSCHLITTLER31
Louis Varland
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-LVARLAND77
Nick Kurtz
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-NKURTZ16
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-AJUDGE99
Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-BRICE22
Cody Bellinger
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-CBELLINGER35
Aroldis Chapman
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-ACHAPMAN44
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-VGUERRERO27
Kevin McGonigle
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-KMCGONIGLE85
Travis Bazzana
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-TBAZZANA37
Randy Arozarena
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RAROZARENA56
Rico Garcia
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RGARCIA50
Gleyber Torres
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-GTORRES25
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 53% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.