Randy Arozarena · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL
Randy Arozarena is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 68¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL.
Price history
26¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Randy Arozarena is selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball American League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Randy Arozarena
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Ernie Clement 97¢
Range
1¢-97¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RAROZARENA56
Jun 26, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
68¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Randy Arozarena is selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball American League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RAROZARENA56
Event family
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ernie Clement 97¢
Current share
1%
Ernie Clement
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-ECLEMENT22
Byron Buxton
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-BBUXTON25
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-AJUDGE99
Miguel Vargas
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-MVARGAS20
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-VGUERRERO27
Kevin McGonigle
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-KMCGONIGLE85
Riley Greene
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RGREENE31
José Ramírez
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-JRAMREZ11
Mike Trout
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-MTROUT27
Randy Arozarena
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RAROZARENA56
Max Scherzer
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-MSCHERZER31
Gleyber Torres
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-GTORRES25
Ryan O'Hearn
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-ROHEARN29
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-JCHISHOLM13
Joe Ryan
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-JRYAN41
Munetaka Murakami
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-MMURAKAMI5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.