Will Kyle Schwarber lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

This market shows extremely illiquid conditions with zero 24-hour volume despite $2,322 open interest, and the 7-cent spread represents a 117% bid-ask gap relative to the midpoint. The 6-cent price implies a 6% probability that Schwarber leads MLB in RBIs, which generates an extraordinary 4,645% annualized yield on the Yes side—a red flag suggesting either severe mispricing or that the market lacks sufficient liquidity to reflect true probability. With 189 days to expiration and a neutral regime score, this contract appears to be a low-conviction, illiquid position better suited for patient traders than active speculation.

Resolution rules

If Kyle Schwarber leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade