Will Bryce Harper lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

3¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $61·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-BHAR

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $61 open interest, making the 3¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The 6257.6% implied yield on the Yes side is a red flag indicating the market lacks sufficient depth to support meaningful trading, and the 4¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 3¢ price itself. With 189 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 32, this contract carries meaningful execution risk, though Harper's historical RBI production (he led MLB with 86 RBIs in 2015) suggests 3% may undervalue his chances relative to the broader field.

Resolution rules

If Bryce Harper leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6278.4%
IY (No) 6.0%
Adj IY 3139%
CRI 32
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)6278.4%
IY (No)6.0%
Adj IY3139%
CRI32
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:49:19 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-BHAR yes 100

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