LaMelo Ball · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12
LaMelo Ball is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 55¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNBATRADE-27FEB12.
Price history
40¢ current
+38¢Contract brief
If LaMelo Ball is traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
LaMelo Ball
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
LaMelo Ball 26¢
Range
2¢-26¢
Family volume
$111
Identifier
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-LBALL1
Jun 25, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
40¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
55¢
24h volume
$473
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12
Closes
Feb 12, 2027
Family volume
$111
Orderbook snapshot
40 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If LaMelo Ball is traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 12, 2027
Identifier
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-LBALL1
Event family
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$111
Outcomes
16
Highest price
LaMelo Ball 26¢
Current share
2%
LaMelo Ball
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-LBALL1
Ja Morant
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-JMORANT12
Trey Murphy
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-TMURPHY25
Jaylen Brown
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-JBROWN7
Nic Claxton
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-NCLAXTON33
Donte DiVincenzo
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DDIVINCENZO0
De'Aaron Fox
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DFOX4
Daniel Gafford
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DGAFFORD21
Anthony Black
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-ABLACK0
Anthony Davis
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-ADAVIS23
Aaron Gordon
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-AGORDON32
Brandon Ingram
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-BINGRAM3
Dillon Brooks
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DBROOKS3
Dyson Daniels
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DDANIELS5
DeMar DeRozan
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DDEROZAN10
Donovan Mitchell
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DMITCHELL45
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.