Lizzie Fletcher · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02
Lizzie Fletcher is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02.
Price history
7¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Lizzie Fletcher formally holds the position of Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lizzie Fletcher
Rank
#6 of 9
Leader
Jason Crow 16¢
Range
2¢-16¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-LFLE
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 49m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$416
Family rank
#6 of 9
9 outcomes · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02
Closes
Mar 9, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lizzie Fletcher formally holds the position of Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 9, 2027
Identifier
KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-LFLE
Event family
KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Jason Crow 16¢
Current share
15%
Jason Crow
kalshi · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-JCRO
Ami Bera
kalshi · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-ABER
Ted Lieu
kalshi · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-TLIE
Greg Stanton
kalshi · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-GSTA
Morgan McGarvey
kalshi · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-MMCG
Jamie Raskin
kalshi · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-JRAS
Lizzie Fletcher
kalshi · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-LFLE
Sharice Davids
kalshi · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-SDAV
Lauren Underwood
kalshi · KXDCCCCHAIR-27MAR02-LUND
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.