SimpleFunctions

Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 2.5% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026

Above 2.5% is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above.

Price history

50¢ current

+5¢
30¢40¢50¢
Jul 13, 2026Aug 1, 2026

Contract brief

If Loblaw Companies Limited reports Above 2.5 food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 2.5%

Rank

#4 of 7

Leader

Above 1% 95¢

Range

1¢-95¢

Family volume

$90

Identifier

KXLOBA-27FEBSSSG-2.5

Aug 1, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 1, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

43¢

Ask

50¢

Spread

24h volume

$9

Family rank

#4 of 7

7 outcomes · Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above

Closes

May 2, 2027

Family volume

$90

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 50¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
43¢250
21¢53
2¢3.1K
AskSize
50¢250
98¢4.0K
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Loblaw Companies Limited reports Above 2.5 food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 2, 2027

Identifier

KXLOBA-27FEBSSSG-2.5

SF Signal
SF Index
84.72
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$90

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above 1% 95¢

Current share

10%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

169.4%

IY (No)

104.6%

Adj IY

85%

CRI

1

Overround

2.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

169.4%
104.6%
Adj IY
85%
1
Overround
2.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.