SimpleFunctions

Louisiana Tech · KXNCAAFSBELT-26

Louisiana Tech is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 14 inside KXNCAAFSBELT-26.

Price history

8¢ current

+2¢
0¢10¢
Aug 21, 2026Sep 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Louisiana Tech wins the 2026 College Football Sun Belt Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Louisiana Tech

Rank

#4 of 14

Leader

James Madison 29¢

Range

1¢-29¢

Family volume

$326

Identifier

KXNCAAFSBELT-26-LT

Sep 18, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

8¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 18, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

Ask

12¢

Spread

24h volume

$11

Family rank

#4 of 14

14 outcomes · KXNCAAFSBELT-26

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Family volume

$326

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 12¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
8¢10
3¢89
AskSize
12¢15K
27¢90
29¢150
44¢200
48¢1.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Louisiana Tech wins the 2026 College Football Sun Belt Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFSBELT-26-LT

SF Signal
SF Index
1963.47
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3926.9%

IY (No)

29.7%

Adj IY

1963%

CRI

12

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3926.9%
29.7%
Adj IY
1963%
12
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.