SimpleFunctions

Louisiana Tech · KXNCAAFSBELT-26

Louisiana Tech is priced at 14¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 10 inside KXNCAAFSBELT-26.

Price history

14¢ current

+8¢
10¢
Jul 10, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Louisiana Tech wins the 2026 College Football Sun Belt Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Louisiana Tech

Rank

#7 of 10

Leader

Appalachian St. 29¢

Range

2¢-29¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNCAAFSBELT-26-LT

Jul 12, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 12, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

Ask

21¢

Spread

15¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#7 of 10

10 outcomes · KXNCAAFSBELT-26

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 21¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
6¢125
5¢500
AskSize
21¢500
22¢1.0K
28¢229
30¢200
35¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Louisiana Tech wins the 2026 College Football Sun Belt Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFSBELT-26-LT

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3269.3%

IY (No)

13.3%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

16

Overround

0.1%

LAS

2.83

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3269.3%
13.3%
Adj IY
0%
16
Overround
0.1%
LAS
2.83

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.