Matt Walsh · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING
Matt Walsh is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 9 inside KXWHPRESSBRIEFING.
Price history
30¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Matt Walsh attends any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Matt Walsh
Rank
#4 of 9
Leader
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 52¢
Range
4¢-52¢
Family volume
$612
Identifier
KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-MWAL
Jun 26, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$298
Family rank
#4 of 9
9 outcomes · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$612
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Matt Walsh attends any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-MWAL
Event family
KXWHPRESSBRIEFING.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$612
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 52¢
Current share
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-RFK
Benny Johnson
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-BJOH
Tim Pool
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-TPOO
Matt Walsh
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-MWAL
Dan Bongino
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-DBON
Tulsi Gabbard
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-TGAB
Ben Shapiro
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-BSHA
Tucker Carlson
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-TCAR
Candace Owens
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-COWE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 30% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.