Tim Pool · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING
Tim Pool is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside KXWHPRESSBRIEFING.
Price history
47¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Tim Pool attends any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tim Pool
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 52¢
Range
4¢-52¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-TPOO
Jun 27, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$20K
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tim Pool attends any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-TPOO
Event family
KXWHPRESSBRIEFING.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 52¢
Current share
—
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-RFK
Benny Johnson
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-BJOH
Tim Pool
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-TPOO
Matt Walsh
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-MWAL
Dan Bongino
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-DBON
Tulsi Gabbard
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-TGAB
Ben Shapiro
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-BSHA
Tucker Carlson
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-TCAR
Candace Owens
kalshi · KXWHPRESSBRIEFING-COWE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 47% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.