Meija Moreno to be cast in Summer House
Meija Moreno is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27.
Price history
18¢ current
Contract brief
If Meija Moreno is cast in Summer House: Season 11 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Meija Moreno
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
West Wilson 56¢
Range
5¢-56¢
Family volume
$300
Identifier
KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-MEI
Sep 14, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$8K
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$300
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Meija Moreno is cast in Summer House: Season 11 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-MEI
Event family
KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$300
Outcomes
6
Highest price
West Wilson 56¢
Current share
0%
West Wilson
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-WES
Dara Levitan
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-DAR
Levi Sebree
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-LEV
Meija Moreno
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-MEI
Ben Waddell
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-BEN
Amanda Batula
kalshi · KXSUMMERHOUSECAST-27-AMA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.