Melat Kiros · KXCOPRIMARY-01D26
Melat Kiros is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXCOPRIMARY-01D26.
Price history
69¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If Melat Kiros wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 CO-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Melat Kiros
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Melat Kiros 72¢
Range
26¢-72¢
Family volume
$44K
Identifier
KXCOPRIMARY-01D26-MKIR
Jun 25, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
69¢
Ask
70¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$32K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXCOPRIMARY-01D26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$44K
Orderbook snapshot
69 / 70¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Melat Kiros wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 CO-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCOPRIMARY-01D26-MKIR
Event family
KXCOPRIMARY-01D26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$44K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Melat Kiros 72¢
Current share
61%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.