Mike Trout · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL
Mike Trout is priced at 90¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL.
Price history
90¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Mike Trout is selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball American League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mike Trout
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Byron Buxton 91¢
Range
2¢-91¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-MTROUT27
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 43m ago
Implied probability
Bid
85¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
85 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Mike Trout is selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball American League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-MTROUT27
Event family
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Byron Buxton 91¢
Current share
0%
Byron Buxton
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-BBUXTON25
Cam Schlittler
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-CSCHLITTLER31
Shea Langeliers
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-SLANGELIERS23
Louis Varland
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-LVARLAND77
Nick Kurtz
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-NKURTZ16
Yordan Alvarez
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-YALVAREZ44
Mike Trout
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-MTROUT27
Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-BRICE22
Munetaka Murakami
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-MMURAKAMI5
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-VGUERRERO27
Kevin McGonigle
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-KMCGONIGLE85
Travis Bazzana
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-TBAZZANA37
Randy Arozarena
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RAROZARENA56
Jonathan Aranda
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-JARANDA8
Gleyber Torres
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-GTORRES25
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-JCHISHOLM13
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.