SimpleFunctions

Milwaukee win at least 100 games this season

100+ wins is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Will Milwaukee win at least.

Price history

35¢ current

+12¢
20¢30¢
Jul 7, 2026Aug 6, 2026

Contract brief

If Milwaukee has 100+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

100+ wins

Rank

#6 of 7

Leader

75+ wins 99¢

Range

2¢-99¢

Family volume

$530

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-MIL-26-T100

Aug 7, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

35¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

34¢

Ask

35¢

Spread

24h volume

$500

Family rank

#6 of 7

7 outcomes · Will Milwaukee win at least

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Family volume

$530

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 35¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
34¢1.0K
20¢10
19¢90
15¢280
11¢25
AskSize
35¢50
36¢10
37¢139
38¢650
39¢211

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Milwaukee has 100+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-MIL-26-T100

SF Signal
SF Index
760.71
Regime
taker

Event family

Will Milwaukee win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$530

Outcomes

7

Highest price

75+ wins 99¢

Current share

94%

Browse this series

MLB Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

760.7%

IY (No)

201.9%

Adj IY

761%

CRI

2

RV

435%

VR

1.28

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

760.7%
201.9%
Adj IY
761%
2
RV
435%
VR
1.28
IAR
1.4/h
Overround
1.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.