Will Missouri win the College Football SEC Championship?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Missouri win the College Football SEC Championship?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing January 3, 2027. Missouri's SEC Championship odds have surged dramatically from 1¢ to 10¢ over the past week, though the market remains extremely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $620 open interest, making the price movement potentially unreliable.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 0/2¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $620·Closes Jan 3, 2027·256d remaining
KXNCAAFSEC-26-MIZZ

Analysis

5d ago

Missouri's SEC Championship odds have surged dramatically from 1¢ to 10¢ over the past week, though the market remains extremely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $620 open interest, making the price movement potentially unreliable. The 1257.7% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and reflects the thin liquidity and wide 2¢ spread rather than genuine arbitrage opportunity. With 261 days until expiry and a high Cliff Risk Index of 9, this market appears speculative and vulnerable to sharp repricing as the 2026 college football season approaches and more capital enters.

Resolution rules

If Missouri wins the 2026 College Football SEC Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1285.2%
IY (No) 15.9%
Adj IY 643%
CRI 9
Overround 0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1285.2%
IY (No)15.9%
Adj IY643%
CRI9
Overround0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:35:13 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:23:24 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNCAAFSEC-26-MIZZ yes 100

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