SimpleFunctions

Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 20000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week

Above 20K is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above.

Price history

98¢ current

+10¢
90¢100¢
Jun 16, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx has above 20K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 20K

Rank

#2 of 11

Leader

Above 10K 92¢

Range

2¢-92¢

Family volume

$35

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-MUS26JUL30-20K

Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

98¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

88¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

Reported volume

$10

Family rank

#2 of 11

11 outcomes · Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Family volume

$35

Orderbook snapshot

88 / 97¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
88¢5
87¢250
AskSize
97¢250
99¢75

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx has above 20K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-MUS26JUL30-20K

SF Signal
SF Index
3246.62
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

145.0%

IY (No)

6493.2%

Adj IY

3247%

CRI

7

Overround

3.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

145.0%
6493.2%
Adj IY
3247%
7
Overround
3.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.