SimpleFunctions

Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 50000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week

Above 50K is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above.

Price history

55¢ current

+6¢
50¢
Jun 16, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx has above 50K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 50K

Rank

#5 of 11

Leader

Above 10K 92¢

Range

2¢-92¢

Family volume

$50

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-MUS26JUL30-50K

Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

55¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

46¢

Ask

55¢

Spread

Reported volume

$19

Family rank

#5 of 11

11 outcomes · Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Family volume

$50

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 55¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
46¢5
45¢250
4¢51
3¢2.0K
AskSize
55¢250
98¢42
99¢91

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx has above 50K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-MUS26JUL30-50K

SF Signal
SF Index
568.24
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1136.5%

IY (No)

824.7%

Adj IY

568%

CRI

1

Overround

3.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1136.5%
824.7%
Adj IY
568%
1
Overround
3.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.