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Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 60000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week

Above 60K is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 11 inside Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above.

Price history

38¢ current

+2¢
30¢40¢
Jun 18, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx has above 60K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 60K

Rank

#6 of 11

Leader

Above 10K 92¢

Range

2¢-92¢

Family volume

$50

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-MUS26JUL30-60K

Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

36¢

Ask

40¢

Spread

Reported volume

$275

Family rank

#6 of 11

11 outcomes · Will Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Family volume

$50

Orderbook snapshot

36 / 40¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
36¢5
35¢20
34¢250
4¢100
2¢52
AskSize
40¢250
98¢53
99¢75

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx has above 60K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-MUS26JUL30-60K

SF Signal
SF Index
860.55
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1721.1%

IY (No)

544.6%

Adj IY

861%

CRI

2

Overround

3.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1721.1%
544.6%
Adj IY
861%
2
Overround
3.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.