Music, Fashion, Film · KXALBUMVS-DAU26JUL31
Music, Fashion, Film is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXALBUMVS-DAU26JUL31.
Price history
26¢ current
−21¢Contract brief
If Music, Fashion, Film has more USA First week Album Equivalent Units on Luminate than Daughter From Hell within the first week of release, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Music, Fashion, Film
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Daughter From Hell 77¢
Range
25¢-77¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXALBUMVS-DAU26JUL31-MUS
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$24
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXALBUMVS-DAU26JUL31
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Music, Fashion, Film has more USA First week Album Equivalent Units on Luminate than Daughter From Hell within the first week of release, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMVS-DAU26JUL31-MUS
Event family
KXALBUMVS-DAU26JUL31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Daughter From Hell 77¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.