SimpleFunctions

New England · KXNFLH2HWINS-27KCNE

New England is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLH2HWINS-27KCNE.

Price history

43¢ current

+9¢
30¢40¢50¢
Aug 3, 2026Sep 2, 2026

Contract brief

If New England records more wins than Kansas City in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

New England

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Kansas City 47¢

Range

43¢-47¢

Family volume

$45

Identifier

KXNFLH2HWINS-27KCNE-NE

Sep 3, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

43¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 3, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

45¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLH2HWINS-27KCNE

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$45

Orderbook snapshot

45 / 54¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
45¢2.5K
21¢40
4¢5.0K
2¢18
AskSize
54¢2.5K
69¢1.0K
70¢200
75¢4
83¢58

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If New England records more wins than Kansas City in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLH2HWINS-27KCNE-NE

SF Signal
SF Index
159.78
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLH2HWINS-27KCNE.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$45

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Kansas City 47¢

Current share

82%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

319.6%
181.9%
Adj IY
160%
1

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.