SimpleFunctions

New York J wins for New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game

New York J is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game.

Price history

43¢ current

40¢45¢
Jul 28, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If New York J wins the New York J vs Tennessee professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

New York J

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Tennessee 55¢

Range

42¢-55¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NYJTEN-NYJ

Aug 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 1h ago

Implied probability

43¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 1h ago

Bid

42¢

Ask

43¢

Spread

24h volume

$3K

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

42 / 43¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
42¢697
41¢5.4K
40¢416
38¢150
37¢5.1K
AskSize
43¢3.4K
44¢419
45¢2.7K
46¢285
47¢125

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If New York J wins the New York J vs Tennessee professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NYJTEN-NYJ

SF Signal
SF Index
1210.08
Regime
neutral

Event family

New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Tennessee 55¢

Current share

84%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2420.2%
1269.1%
Adj IY
1210%
1

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.