SimpleFunctions

Tennessee wins for New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game

Tennessee is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game.

Price history

56¢ current

+2¢
50¢55¢60¢
Jul 27, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Tennessee wins the New York J vs Tennessee professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tennessee

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Tennessee 55¢

Range

42¢-55¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NYJTEN-TEN

Aug 26, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

56¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 26, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

55¢

Ask

56¢

Spread

24h volume

$222

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

55 / 56¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
55¢2.7K
54¢3.6K
53¢1.1K
52¢500
51¢1.0K
AskSize
56¢2.2K
57¢1.1K
58¢241
59¢8.7K
60¢717

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tennessee wins the New York J vs Tennessee professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NYJTEN-TEN

SF Signal
SF Index
1737.16
Regime
neutral

Event family

New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Tennessee 55¢

Current share

9%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1478.3%

IY (No)

2208.3%

Adj IY

1737%

CRI

1

RV

89%

VR

0.24

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1478.3%
2208.3%
Adj IY
1737%
1
RV
89%
VR
0.24
IAR
0.3/h

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.