Notre Dame · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27
Notre Dame is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNCAAFFINALIST-27.
Price history
25¢ current
Contract brief
If Notre Dame is one of the teams to reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Notre Dame
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Ohio St. 26¢
Range
3¢-26¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-ND
Jun 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$5K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Notre Dame is one of the teams to reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-ND
Event family
KXNCAAFFINALIST-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ohio St. 26¢
Current share
0%
Ohio St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-OSU
Notre Dame
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-ND
Texas
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-TEX
Miami (FL)
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-MIA
Indiana
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-IND
USC
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-USC
Georgia
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-UGA
Alabama
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-ALA
Oregon
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-ORE
Texas Tech
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-TTU
Texas A&M
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-TXAM
Michigan
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-MICH
LSU
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-LSU
Oklahoma
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-OKLA
Ole Miss
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-MISS
Tennessee
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-TENN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 25% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.