SimpleFunctions

Ohio St · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27

Ohio St. is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNCAAFFINALIST-27.

Price history

17¢ current

11¢
20¢30¢
Jul 27, 2026Aug 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Ohio St. is one of the teams to reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ohio St.

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Ohio St. 29¢

Range

1¢-29¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-OSU

Aug 27, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 47m ago

Implied probability

17¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 47m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

25¢

Spread

24h volume

$6K

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 25¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
19¢26
18¢25
17¢10K
14¢33K
12¢50
AskSize
25¢250
28¢33
30¢31
31¢500
36¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ohio St. is one of the teams to reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-OSU

SF Signal
SF Index
294.94
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

589.9%

IY (No)

98.4%

Adj IY

295%

CRI

2

Overround

2.1%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

589.9%
98.4%
Adj IY
295%
2
Overround
2.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.