Obsession · KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27
Obsession is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27.
Price history
35¢ current
−13¢Contract brief
If Obsession is the #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Obsession
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Obsession 32¢
Range
3¢-32¢
Family volume
$649
Identifier
KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-OBS
Aug 3, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$279
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$649
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Obsession is the #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-OBS
Event family
KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$649
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Obsession 32¢
Current share
43%
Obsession
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-OBS
The Odyssey
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-ODY
Michael
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-MIC
Project Hail Mary
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-PRO
One Battle After Another
kalshi · KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-ONE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.