SimpleFunctions

One Battle After Another · KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27

One Battle After Another is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27.

Price history

10¢ current

+8¢
0¢10¢
Jul 28, 2026Aug 5, 2026

Contract brief

If One Battle After Another is the #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

One Battle After Another

Rank

#6 of 6

Leader

The Odyssey 39¢

Range

3¢-39¢

Family volume

$246

Identifier

KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-ONE

Aug 7, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1

Family rank

#6 of 6

6 outcomes · KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$246

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 10¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
3¢251
AskSize
10¢350
30¢1
84¢244
87¢81
96¢14

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If One Battle After Another is the #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-ONE

SF Signal
SF Index
4022.33
Regime
taker

Event family

KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$246

Outcomes

6

Highest price

The Odyssey 39¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8044.7%

IY (No)

7.7%

Adj IY

4022%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

8044.7%
7.7%
Adj IY
4022%
32
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.