SimpleFunctions

Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey have above 25000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week

Above 25K is priced at 82¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 10 inside Will Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey have above.

Price history

82¢ current

+80¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 26, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey has above 25K Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 25K

Rank

#5 of 10

Leader

Above 5K 96¢

Range

28¢-96¢

Family volume

$76

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-OHY26JUL23-25K

Jul 13, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

82¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

83¢

Ask

88¢

Spread

24h volume

$26

Family rank

#5 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey have above

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Family volume

$76

Orderbook snapshot

83 / 88¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
83¢112
56¢2
40¢5
39¢169
37¢35
AskSize
88¢10
91¢107
96¢13
97¢275
98¢515

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey has above 25K Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-OHY26JUL23-25K

SF Signal
SF Index
13165.33
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

552.3%

IY (No)

13165.3%

Adj IY

13165%

CRI

5

RV

748%

VR

2.36

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

552.3%
13165.3%
Adj IY
13165%
5
RV
748%
VR
2.36
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
6.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.