SimpleFunctions

Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey have above 35000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week

Above 35K is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 10 inside Will Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey have above.

Price history

54¢ current

+52¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 26, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey has above 35K Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 35K

Rank

#7 of 10

Leader

Above 5K 96¢

Range

28¢-96¢

Family volume

$61

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-OHY26JUL23-35K

Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

54¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

66¢

Ask

70¢

Spread

Reported volume

$201

Family rank

#7 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey have above

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Family volume

$61

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 70¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
66¢101
63¢5
42¢10
25¢52
24¢133
AskSize
70¢112
74¢101
91¢140
93¢444
94¢21

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Oh yeah? by Steve Lacey has above 35K Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-OHY26JUL23-35K

SF Signal
SF Index
5210.54
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1382.8%

IY (No)

5210.5%

Adj IY

5211%

CRI

2

RV

442%

VR

0.83

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1382.8%
5210.5%
Adj IY
5211%
2
RV
442%
VR
0.83
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
6.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.