SimpleFunctions

Oklahoma City · KXNBA-27

Oklahoma City is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNBA-27.

Price history

26¢ current

+20¢
10¢20¢30¢
Jun 14, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Oklahoma City wins the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Oklahoma City

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Oklahoma City 25¢

Range

1¢-25¢

Family volume

$165K

Identifier

KXNBA-27-OKC

Jun 25, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

26¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

24h volume

$5K

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBA-27

Closes

Jul 30, 2029

Family volume

$165K

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 26¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
25¢48K
24¢4.2K
23¢10K
22¢104
21¢98
AskSize
26¢170K
27¢21K
28¢9.7K
29¢20K
30¢14K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Oklahoma City wins the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 30, 2029

Identifier

KXNBA-27-OKC

SF Signal
SF Index
46.46
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

96.8%

IY (No)

10.8%

Adj IY

46%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

96.8%
10.8%
Adj IY
46%
3
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.04

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.