Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Jul 1, 2026?
This contract is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$661
Best sibling
Before Sep 1, 2026 63¢
Ticker
KXGPT-OPEN-26JUL01
Market snapshot
Before Jul 1, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Jul 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 13¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before family, this outcome ranks #5 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Before Jul 1, 2026
Family rank
#5 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
13¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jul 1, 2026
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
6 outcomes · Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before
Quote range
4¢-73¢
Family leader
Before Nov 1, 2026 73¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: KXGPT-OPEN-26JUL01. Family volume: $661.
Price history
13¢ current
−22¢Orderbook snapshot
9 / 13¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXGPT-OPEN-26JUL01
Event family
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$661
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Before Nov 1, 2026 73¢
Current share
0%
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26JUL01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26SEP01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26AUG01
Before Jun 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26JUN01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26NOV01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
scientific
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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