Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Nov 1, 2026?
This contract is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$664
Best sibling
Before Sep 1, 2026 63¢
Ticker
KXGPT-OPEN-26NOV01
Market snapshot
Before Nov 1, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Nov 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 77¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $529. In the Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before family, this outcome ranks #1 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Before Nov 1, 2026
Family rank
#1 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
77¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 1, 2026
Reported volume
$529
Family context
6 outcomes · Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before
Quote range
4¢-73¢
Family leader
Before Nov 1, 2026 73¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: KXGPT-OPEN-26NOV01. Family volume: $664.
Price history
77¢ current
−4¢Orderbook snapshot
73 / 78¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Identifier
KXGPT-OPEN-26NOV01
Event family
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$664
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Before Nov 1, 2026 73¢
Current share
0%
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26NOV01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26SEP01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26AUG01
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26JUL01
Before Jun 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26JUN01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
scientific
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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