Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Sep 1, 2026?
This contract is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$661
Best sibling
Before Aug 1, 2026 36¢
Ticker
KXGPT-OPEN-26SEP01
Market snapshot
Before Sep 1, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Sep 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 66¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $519. In the Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before family, this outcome ranks #3 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Before Sep 1, 2026
Family rank
#3 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
66¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Sep 1, 2026
24h volume
$519
Family context
6 outcomes · Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before
Quote range
4¢-73¢
Family leader
Before Nov 1, 2026 73¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: KXGPT-OPEN-26SEP01. Family volume: $661.
Price history
66¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
63 / 69¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
KXGPT-OPEN-26SEP01
Event family
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$661
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Before Nov 1, 2026 73¢
Current share
79%
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26SEP01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26AUG01
Before Jun 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26JUN01
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26JUL01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-OPEN-26NOV01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
scientific
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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