Patrick Stewart · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29
Patrick Stewart is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29.
Price history
25¢ current
Contract brief
If Patrick Stewart is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Patrick Stewart
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Sadie Sink 92¢
Range
11¢-92¢
Family volume
$760
Identifier
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-PAT
Aug 6, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29
Closes
Jan 1, 2029
Family volume
$760
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Patrick Stewart is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2029
Identifier
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-PAT
Event family
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$760
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Sadie Sink 92¢
Current share
0%
Sadie Sink
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-SAD
Hugh Jackman
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-HUG
Hunter Schafer
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-HUN
Jesse Plemons
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-JES
Colman Domingo
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-COL
Patrick Stewart
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-PAT
Will Poulter
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-WIL
James McAvoy
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-JAM
Harris Dickinson
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-HAR
Pedro Pascal
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-PED
Michael Fassbender
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-MIC
Ian McKellen
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-IAN
Glen Powell
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-GLE
Sophie Turner
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-SOP
Austin Butler
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-AUS
Margaret Qualley
kalshi · KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-MAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.