Pete Crow-Armstrong · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20
Pete Crow-Armstrong is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20.
Price history
81¢ current
+30¢Contract brief
If Pete Crow-Armstrong records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Brandon Lowe 93¢
Range
4¢-93¢
Family volume
$446
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Jun 23, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
81¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Family volume
$446
Orderbook snapshot
81 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Pete Crow-Armstrong records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Event family
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$446
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Brandon Lowe 93¢
Current share
0%
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BLOWE5
CJ Abrams
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-CABRAMS5
Pete Crow-Armstrong
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Tyler Soderstrom
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-TSODERSTROM21
Jackson Chourio
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JCHOURIO11
Cody Bellinger
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-CBELLINGER35
Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JCAGLIANONE14
Brandon Nimmo
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BNIMMO24
Brice Turang
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BTURANG2
Randy Arozarena
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-RAROZARENA56
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ABREGMAN3
Adley Rutschman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ARUTSCHMAN35
Bo Bichette
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BBICHETTE19
Alec Bohm
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ABOHM28
Alejandro Kirk
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-AKIRK30
Brett Baty
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BBATY7
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.