Rauw Alejandro · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Rauw Alejandro is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
Price history
66¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Rauw Alejandro releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rauw Alejandro
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Olivia Rodrigo 99¢
Range
12¢-99¢
Family volume
$643
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-RUA
May 24, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
57¢
Ask
65¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$643
Orderbook snapshot
57 / 65¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rauw Alejandro releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-RUA
Event family
KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$643
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Olivia Rodrigo 99¢
Current share
0%
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-OLIV
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ARI
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-LAN
Grimes
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-GRI
Bryson Tiller
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BRY
PinkPantheress
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-PIN
Rauw Alejandro
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-RUA
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KEN
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TAY
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-JUS
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAD
Rihanna
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-RIH
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-WEE
Ed Sheeran
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ED
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BIL
Migos
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-MIG
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.