SimpleFunctions

Travis Scott · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Travis Scott is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.

Price history

51¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢
Aug 21, 2026Sep 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Travis Scott releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Travis Scott

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Travis Scott 50¢

Range

2¢-50¢

Family volume

$977

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TRA

Sep 20, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

51¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 20, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

50¢

Ask

62¢

Spread

12¢

Reported volume

$5K

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$977

Orderbook snapshot

50 / 62¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
50¢85
23¢14
22¢74
21¢140
20¢200
AskSize
62¢29
63¢42
64¢100
69¢1
70¢505

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Travis Scott releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TRA

SF Signal
SF Index
178.10
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMRELEASE series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

356.2%

IY (No)

356.2%

Adj IY

178%

CRI

1

Overround

9.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

356.2%
356.2%
Adj IY
178%
1
Overround
9.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.