SimpleFunctions

Travis Scott · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Travis Scott is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.

Price history

58¢ current

3¢
55¢60¢65¢
May 3, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Travis Scott releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Travis Scott

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Range

12¢-99¢

Family volume

$886

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TRA

May 24, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

57¢

Ask

69¢

Spread

12¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$886

Orderbook snapshot

57 / 69¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
57¢401
51¢2
50¢82
31¢7
30¢21
AskSize
69¢403
76¢81
92¢2
95¢53
96¢106

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Travis Scott releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TRA

SF Signal
SF Index
86.25
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 49¢, +9¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Browse this series

Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMRELEASE series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

124.4%

IY (No)

218.5%

Adj IY

86%

CRI

1

Overround

39.1%

LAS

0.21

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

124.4%
218.5%
Adj IY
86%
1
Overround
39.1%
LAS
0.21

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.