Riley Greene · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL
Riley Greene is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL.
Price history
67¢ current
+62¢Contract brief
If Riley Greene is selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball American League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Riley Greene
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Byron Buxton 91¢
Range
3¢-91¢
Family volume
$608
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RGREENE31
Jun 25, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
67¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$45
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Family volume
$608
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 67¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Riley Greene is selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball American League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RGREENE31
Event family
KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$608
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Byron Buxton 91¢
Current share
0%
Byron Buxton
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-BBUXTON25
Louis Varland
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-LVARLAND77
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-AJUDGE99
Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-BRICE22
Aroldis Chapman
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-ACHAPMAN44
Dillon Dingler
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-DDINGLER13
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-VGUERRERO27
Riley Greene
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RGREENE31
Joe Ryan
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-JRYAN41
Kevin McGonigle
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-KMCGONIGLE85
Adley Rutschman
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-ARUTSCHMAN35
Travis Bazzana
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-TBAZZANA37
Randy Arozarena
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-RAROZARENA56
Max Scherzer
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-MSCHERZER31
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-JCHISHOLM13
Brayan Rocchio
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26AL-BROCCHIO4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 67% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.