SimpleFunctions

Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $10 billion event contracts total trading volume in Q3 2026

Above $10 billion is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $.

Price history

92¢ current

+43¢
50¢75¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 10000000000 event contracts total trading volume in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $10 billion

Rank

#1 of 8

Leader

Above $10 billion 88¢

Range

1¢-88¢

Family volume

$240

Identifier

KXHOOD-26NOVECVOL-10000000000

Aug 10, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

92¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 10, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

88¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

Reported volume

$69

Family rank

#1 of 8

8 outcomes · Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $

Closes

Mar 4, 2027

Family volume

$240

Orderbook snapshot

88 / 96¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
88¢200
61¢55
60¢500
57¢500
27¢1.9K
AskSize
96¢200
99¢51

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 10000000000 event contracts total trading volume in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 4, 2027

Identifier

KXHOOD-26NOVECVOL-10000000000

SF Signal
SF Index
649.96
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

24.2%

IY (No)

1299.9%

Adj IY

650%

CRI

7

Overround

2.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

24.2%
1299.9%
Adj IY
650%
7
Overround
2.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.