Ross Chastain beats Christopher Bell · KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26CHBEROCH
Ross Chastain beats Christopher Bell is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26CHBEROCH.
Price history
67¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Ross Chastain achieves a better finishing position than Christopher Bell in the Toyota / Save Mart 350 Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ross Chastain beats Christopher Bell
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Ross Chastain beats Christopher Bell 66¢
Range
35¢-66¢
Family volume
$739
Identifier
KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26CHBEROCH-ROCH
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
66¢
Ask
73¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$613
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26CHBEROCH
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Family volume
$739
Orderbook snapshot
66 / 73¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ross Chastain achieves a better finishing position than Christopher Bell in the Toyota / Save Mart 350 Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26CHBEROCH-ROCH
Event family
KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26CHBEROCH.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$739
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Ross Chastain beats Christopher Bell 66¢
Current share
83%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 67% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.