SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Sal Frelick record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 11¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$864 volume
$730 liquidity
599% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$144

Best sibling

Will Smith 35¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-SFRELICK10

Market snapshot

Sal Frelick in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Sal Frelick record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $864. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20 family, this outcome ranks #16 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Sal Frelick

Family rank

#16 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

18¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$864

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20

Quote range

3¢-94¢

Family leader

Elly De La Cruz 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-SFRELICK10. Family volume: $144.

Price history

18¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 14¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
3¢77
AskSize
14¢13
15¢103
19¢500
26¢16
38¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Sal Frelick records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-SFRELICK10

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8008.2%

IY (No)

7.7%

Adj IY

4004%

CRI

32

Overround

18.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8008.2%
7.7%
Adj IY
4004%
32
Overround
18.3%

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